Chauray vs Ancienne Château-Gontier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+899%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
11º
10º
11
10º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NIO
0 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASC
33%
23%
44%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LSD
1 - 0
CHA
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 3
LPS
18%
23%
59%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
NAN
10%
17%
74%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ancienne Château-Gontier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
USS
2 - 2
ACG
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACG
0 - 3
LAV
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 1
ACG
81%
13%
7%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 2
SAB
10%
15%
75%
|
11 | 32 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ACG
0 - 1
NIO
15%
19%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |