Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
10º
10º
28
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 45 |
1º
|
85.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 37 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 37 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 36 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 36 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
7º
|
65.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 25 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 23 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 23 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 21 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 18 |
12º
|
70.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
25.5% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OKS
4 - 1
CRW
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
0 - 1
SPV
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 2
CVF
69%
17%
14%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 1
CRW
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CRW
0 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LSC
0 - 0
FMA
26%
24%
51%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
28%
27%
46%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
OMA
2 - 2
FMA
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 1
NCO
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 1
CVF
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |