Chatellerault vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
11º
14
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 48 |
3º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 47 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 24 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
33% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
52.5% | 71.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AVO
0 - 0
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOU
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 0
CHA
56%
20%
23%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 3
VIE
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ORL
2 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
4 - 1
CSL
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
VSF
1 - 0
CHA
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 0
SBM
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
3 - 0
CHA
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |