Chatellerault vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
12º
8º
34
4º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
3º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chatellerault
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FCP
4 - 1
CHA
48%
23%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHA
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PED
0 - 1
CHA
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
LEG
29%
24%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
NIO
5 - 3
CHA
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GUE
1 - 1
BAY
26%
23%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 2
LES
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
BAY
22%
24%
55%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAY
0 - 0
GDB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 0
CNF
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |