Châteauroux II vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
LIM
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
CHO
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHA
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CHA
5 - 2
CHA
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LEP
2 - 3
CHA
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
THO
0 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LEP
5 - 2
THO
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
THO
1 - 1
LAS
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 1
THO
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
THO
0 - 1
ANG
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |