Châteauroux II vs ES Bourges Moulon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+290%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
9º
9º
37
4º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
VIE
0 - 3
CHA
66%
19%
16%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
VSF
81%
13%
7%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAN
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ES Bourges Moulon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SBM
3 - 1
CHA
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 4
SBM
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SBM
1 - 1
BOU
17%
19%
65%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
SBM
85%
10%
5%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SBM
1 - 0
POI
10%
18%
72%
|
8 | 31 | 23 | +3 |