Châteauroux II vs Chartres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
57.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
13º
12º
27
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
27 | 51 |
1º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 50 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
27 | 48 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 47 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 35 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 32 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 30 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
23.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
65% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ORL
1 - 2
CHA
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
CHA
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CSL
3 - 2
CHA
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVO
27%
24%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHA
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Chartres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
CHA
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AVO
0 - 0
CHA
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
VSF
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TOU
0 - 2
CHA
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
SAI
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |