Châteauneuf-sur-Loire vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
13º
4º
32
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
CSL
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CSL
1 - 0
SAI
66%
18%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
CSL
37%
23%
40%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CSL
5 - 1
TOU
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ORL
2 - 0
CSL
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
MON
53%
23%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 3
AVO
27%
25%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ORL
1 - 1
CHA
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
TOU
8%
17%
75%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | -1 |