Charlton Athletic vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ASV
2 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 2
MUD
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
BOL
0 - 0
CHA
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2003 |
CHA
2 - 2
EVE
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WOL
0 - 4
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
LUT
1 - 1
QPR
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2003 |
LUT
2 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
PLY
2 - 1
LUT
44%
25%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
NOT
1 - 1
LUT
32%
25%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
LUT
3 - 2
HAR
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |