Charlton Athletic vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
COV
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
BPO
2 - 0
CHA
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 0
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
QPR
2 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 5
SHE
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2008 |
WOL
3 - 0
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
DER
1 - 2
CRY
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2008 |
STO
0 - 1
DER
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BUR
3 - 0
DER
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
DER
2 - 2
PNE
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |