Charlton Athletic vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 0
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
CHA
0 - 0
BOL
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1949 |
ARS
2 - 3
CHA
74%
15%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
CHA
1 - 3
LIV
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHA
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1949 |
DER
7 - 0
MAC
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1949 |
FUL
0 - 0
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1949 |
BPO
1 - 0
DER
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1949 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
70%
16%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1949 |
EVE
1 - 2
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |