Charlton Athletic vs Crawley Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 1
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
OLD
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
OXF
1 - 1
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
SCU
0 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 2
AFC
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 0
BPO
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
CRA
1 - 1
COL
32%
26%
43%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 3
CRA
58%
21%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CRA
2 - 0
LUT
20%
26%
54%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
STE
2 - 1
CRA
60%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |