Charlton Athletic vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 3
EXE
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 1
CHA
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 2
POS
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
YEO
0 - 1
CHA
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CUM
0 - 1
SHW
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CUM
2 - 2
EXE
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SWI
0 - 1
CUM
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
OLD
0 - 1
CUM
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
1 - 0
CUM
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |