Charlotte Independence vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
MON
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHA
43%
30%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 2
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
CFS
3 - 1
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
CHA
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 0
CHA
43%
30%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 2
ROC
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
MON
62%
24%
15%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
ROC
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |