Charlotte Independence vs Louisville City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
3 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
4 - 1
TOR
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 2
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
WIL
0 - 1
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Louisville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
LOU
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CHA
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
LOU
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
NYO
3 - 2
LOU
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |