Charlotte Independence vs Fuego FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
6º
18
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
FMA
0 - 0
CHA
28%
27%
46%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 3
LSC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SPV
2 - 4
CHA
19%
23%
59%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CRW
0 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
0 - 1
CHA
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fuego FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
LSC
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 2
CVF
69%
17%
14%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CVF
3 - 2
TOR
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
FMA
2 - 1
CVF
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NCO
2 - 2
CVF
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |