Charlotte Independence vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
2º
8º
4º
10
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
16 | 44 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 40 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 39 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
14 | 38 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 37 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 31 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 31 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 30 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 21 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 21 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 19 |
11º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 17 |
12º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
98% | 92.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 7.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlotte Independence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 4
OMA
32%
26%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CVF
1 - 3
CHA
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
OMA
0 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
CRW
2 - 5
OMA
20%
24%
55%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
GTR
1 - 3
CRW
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 0
CRW
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CRW
1 - 1
NCO
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
BLE
4 - 2
CRW
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |