Charlestown City Blues vs Lake Macquarie analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.6%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-71%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
5º
4º
4
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlestown City Blues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ADR
0 - 3
CHA
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
NLE
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 0
CHA
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
WBE
43%
23%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BRO
4 - 2
CHA
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lake Macquarie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAK
1 - 4
BRO
6%
12%
83%
|
5 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LAK
0 - 3
LAM
6%
14%
80%
|
5 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
LAK
1 - 4
NLE
55%
19%
26%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
WBE
5 - 0
LAK
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
LAK
1 - 6
BRO
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | -1 |