Liga de Balompié Mexicano Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Río Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+529%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
RGO
1 - 1
CHA
15%
21%
64%
|
64 | 11 | 53 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
MDO
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
14 - 0
ESC
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
2 - 2
CHA
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Río Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
RGO
1 - 1
CHA
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 64 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MDO
5 - 5
RGO
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
IPE
1 - 2
RGO
30%
22%
49%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
2 - 2
CHA
15%
20%
65%
|
9 | 64 | 55 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
3 - 0
MDO
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | +2 |