Chapulineros de Oaxaca vs Mezcaleros de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
4º
2º
14
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
14 - 0
ESC
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
2 - 2
CHA
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
HAQ
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Mezcaleros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
MDO
5 - 5
RGO
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
MDO
1 - 0
IPE
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
3 - 0
MDO
8%
13%
79%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
HAQ
5 - 1
MDO
69%
18%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |