Chapelton Maroons vs Montego Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
14º
13º
26
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
MOL
3 - 1
CMF
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CMF
2 - 3
WAT
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
CMF
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
4 - 1
CMF
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
CMF
2 - 0
TRI
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montego Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MON
3 - 3
VER
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 1
MON
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIO
0 - 0
MON
61%
25%
14%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
MOL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |