Chapelton Maroons vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
10º
14º
13º
38
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapelton Maroons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MPA
7 - 0
CMF
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LIO
4 - 0
CMF
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 4
VER
52%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
3 - 0
CMF
63%
23%
15%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 0
MON
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
DFC
3 - 1
VER
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
DFC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
DFC
4 - 0
MON
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOL
2 - 3
DFC
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 0
DFC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |