Chapecoense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
PPE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 0
SAO
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SCI
0 - 1
VIT
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |