Chapecoense vs Almirante Barroso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.7%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.2%
2.5%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
TUB
0 - 1
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
INT
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
LIT
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 2
JEC
14%
20%
67%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
LIT
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
2 - 0
LIT
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |