Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-1
Chapecoense vs Princesa Solimões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15%
5.3%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MET
2 - 1
CHA
15%
23%
63%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 2
CHA
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 1
CHA
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 3
BRU
72%
18%
9%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHA
4 - 0
AVA
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 2
CHA
10%
21%
69%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
PRI
1 - 2
NAC
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
PRI
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 2
PRI
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 1
FAS
39%
26%
34%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |