Chapecoense vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CHA
5 - 1
ABC
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
FFL
0 - 2
CHA
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 1
CHA
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
OES
62%
22%
15%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 4
CHA
27%
29%
44%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 0
PAY
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 0
PAR
45%
26%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
PAY
1 - 1
ARN
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
CEA
1 - 0
PAY
67%
20%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
PAY
1 - 1
ASA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |