Chapecoense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
CHA
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
COR
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
NAC
4 - 1
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
13%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
SCI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
PAL
4 - 0
VAS
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
JWI
3 - 2
PAL
24%
25%
51%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
PAL
30%
25%
45%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
PAL
1 - 0
PPE
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |