Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
18.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.2%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
CHA
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
3 - 0
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIT
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
INT
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LIT
0 - 0
MET
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
MET
64%
23%
13%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MET
2 - 0
BRU
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
2 - 1
MET
78%
16%
7%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |