Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
17.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BRU
0 - 2
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
GUA
77%
16%
6%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MET
1 - 2
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 3
MET
49%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
JEC
0 - 0
MET
70%
20%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MET
2 - 2
BRU
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AVA
4 - 0
MET
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |