Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
INT
2 - 5
CHA
10%
22%
68%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
INT
76%
16%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
MET
0 - 4
FFL
22%
24%
54%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
MET
2 - 0
CRI
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
JEC
2 - 1
MET
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
JEC
23%
25%
52%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |