Chapecoense vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
39%
25%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 2
JEC
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
CHA
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
FFL
4 - 1
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
MET
1 - 1
JEC
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 1
MET
29%
25%
46%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
JUV
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
CRI
27%
24%
50%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |