Chapecoense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
20.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
25%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
<0%
0
13.7%
3.1%
Win probability
0.25
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
SAO
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
CHA
59%
25%
16%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 0
CHA
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
MET
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
FFC
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FFC
1 - 3
MAR
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAF
74%
17%
10%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |