Chapecoense vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 3
CHA
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
BRU
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 0
CHA
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 3
MET
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JEC
5 - 0
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
FFL
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |