Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 2-2
Chapecoense vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 0
CHA
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
SAO
0 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
FLA
35%
28%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
CHA
54%
26%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GEN
0 - 0
LIB
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
LIB
24%
28%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |