Chapecoense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 2
BAR
77%
17%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AVA
3 - 2
CHA
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
BRU
0 - 0
CHA
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
67%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
JEC
74%
18%
8%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
HER
1 - 1
JEC
66%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
JEC
2 - 1
INT
71%
18%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 1
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |