Chapecoense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 0
SLO
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
SAO
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 2
CHA
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
JEC
4 - 2
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 2
JEC
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
GOI
3 - 2
JEC
60%
24%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRA
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
JEC
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |