Chapecoense vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.3%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
MAR
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 2
CHA
11%
22%
67%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 3
ITU
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 2
AGU
68%
19%
14%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 0
ITU
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
PPE
2 - 2
ITU
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2022 |
ITU
2 - 0
BRA
26%
26%
49%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |