Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 0-0
Chapecoense vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 2
PPE
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
TIG
59%
24%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
IND
0 - 0
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
LAN
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
GOD
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |