Chapecoense vs CFZ Imbituba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 3
CHA
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 0
49%
23%
27%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
IMB
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FFL
4 - 1
IMB
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
3 - 4
JEC
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MET
2 - 3
IMB
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |