Chapecoense vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
CHA
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MET
1 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 1
FFL
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
30%
27%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 3
MET
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
INT
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 3
HER
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
HER
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HER
1 - 0
AVA
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |