Chapecoense vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHA
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
BRU
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
BRU
1 - 2
CHA
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
8%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
HER
3 - 1
JUV
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HER
0 - 4
AVA
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
HER
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
HER
1 - 0
CHA
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |