Chapecoense vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
CHA
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 1
INT
80%
15%
6%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ATM
3 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 3
GOI
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FFL
0 - 0
CHA
43%
28%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
INT
1 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
JEC
20%
25%
56%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
AVA
4 - 0
GUA
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
3 - 0
HER
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |