Chapecoense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 3
CHA
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |