Chapecoense vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
COT
3 - 4
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 1
SAN
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
CHA
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
AMF
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |