Chapecoense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 2
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
CHA
63%
23%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
SCI
21%
28%
51%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 1
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
BAH
3 - 4
AMF
52%
26%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 1
ATP
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 0
COR
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 2
BAH
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |