Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 3-2
Chapecoense vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 0
CHA
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 2
CHA
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
SCI
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
ATM
3 - 1
CHA
67%
20%
14%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
ASA
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 0
CHA
13%
21%
66%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 2
CUI
44%
30%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
2 - 0
FOR
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
CUI
47%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |