Chapecoense vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
54.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
BOT
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 4
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
CHA
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2014 |
CRZ
0 - 1
ATM
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
GOI
74%
17%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
CRZ
43%
25%
32%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |