Chapecoense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
15%
22%
64%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
BRU
74%
19%
8%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
JUV
80%
15%
5%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CAC
1 - 1
CHA
5%
11%
84%
|
72 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
0 - 1
CRI
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRI
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CRI
0 - 0
TUB
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 2
CRI
13%
21%
67%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |