Chapecoense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
ATM
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
61%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
FFL
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 1
CHA
8%
20%
72%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
3 - 2
CRI
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
5 - 4
MET
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 3
SCI
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 2
ALT
72%
17%
11%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CRI
2 - 1
LIT
79%
14%
7%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |