Chapecoense vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
ATP
1 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCI
1 - 0
CHA
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
VAS
36%
29%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
CSA
2 - 0
CHA
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
23%
27%
50%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
55%
26%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
IVT
2 - 2
COR
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
COR
2 - 1
BAH
53%
27%
20%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
IVT
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 0
COR
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |